Ohio Swine Commentaries

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Dr. Dave Kohl of Compeer Financial, Scenario Analysis Helps Turn “Cant’s” Into “Can Do’s”, August 23 2017

    Hi. I’m Dr. Dave Kohl professor emeritus agriculture economics at Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, Virginia. Of course, we’d like to welcome you back to the MacroCLINIC. Today’s theme is, “Turning a Can’t Do into a Can Do.” Oftentimes when I’m out on the road working with agriculture producers, they will say, “Well, I can’t

Dennis Smith from Archer Financial Services, Pork Margins Expected to Narrow, August 22 2017

  LEAN HOGS Cash was sloppy again yesterday with the late report confirming prices paid were down $1.50. The cutout was not lower but up .42 so the packer continues to operate at impressively handsome processing margins. Most, including me expect margins to narrow as two new plants come on-line over the next thirty days.

Dennis Smith from Archer Financial Services, Cold Storage Confirmed Record Low Belly Stocks, July 25 2017

LEAN HOGS Cash was down .50 yesterday with more of the same in store for today. While the cutout was down .57 at $102.21 packer margins remain highly profitable. This week’s hog slaughter is projected to be 2.214 million, or unchanged from last week and up only 1% from last year. So going into the

Dennis Smith from Archer Financial Services, Light Volume Rally in Both Cattle and Hogs, July 20

  LEAN HOGS Getting right to the chase, lean hogs rallied sharply yesterday as traders are becoming impressed with the inability of packers to break the cash. Indeed, at the moment they have very little incentive to back bids off severely. Margins are the best they’ve been since last fall and highly profitable. Cutout continues

Daryl Timmerman Commentary from AgStar, Benchmarking for Continuous Improvement, June 13 2017

    Volatility in the swine industry continues. Even so, the continued growth of the U.S. sow herd is evidence of ongoing optimism in our industry. Surely there will be growing pains experienced as producers and processors look for ways to take advantage of the 10 percent slaughter capacity increase that will be brought online

Dennis Smith Commentary from Archer Financial, Large Volume Trade in Feeder Cattle, June 8 2017

  LEAN HOGS Hogs traded in a narrow range yesterday and watching the screen it appeared to be a light volume back and fill session. However, the CME reports that it was a large volume session of just over 57,000 contracts with open interest edging down less than 1,000 cars. Futures, indeed, appear to be

Dennis Smith from Archer Financial Services, May 30th 2017

Lean Hog Open Interest Surges Higher on Fresh Contract Highs   Follow me on Twitter @denniscattle   Tuesday May 30, 2017   LEAN HOGS Lean hog futures exploded higher and closed near the session highs which also represent fresh contract highs in all the summer hogs. Volume of trade was good at 34,000 with open

Jim Long Pork Commentary, U.S Lean Hog Prices Continue to Go Higher, May 23rd 2017

Jim Long, President and CEO Genesus Genetics The latest data we have on U.S pork exports is March (227,955 metric tons) which was 16% higher then the same month last year.  March topped the previous monthly high set in November 2016.  A U.S dollar decline that we are seeing currently should support U.S pork exports

Dennis Smith from Archer Financial Services, May 23rd 2017

Cold Storage Confirms Record Small Belly Stocks Going into Summer   Follow me on Twitter @denniscattle   Tuesday May 23, 2017   LEAN HOGS The cold storage was nothing exciting but the report does confirm that demand for pork over the last year has been excellent if not record high. While there were 13.5 million

Dennis Smith from Archer Financial Services, May 16th 2017

Choice Beef Trading at Levels Not Seen in Nearly Two Years   Follow me on Twitter @denniscattle   Tuesday May 16, 2017   LEAN HOGS Cash hog prices yesterday were quoted .50 higher with a steady to higher tone expected for today. Cutout continues to grind higher daily with yesterday’s quote up .68 at $83.97.

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